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Steve Weagle's Weather and Astronomy Blog

My thoughts on Fay

 

Fay made it through Hispaniola slightly weaker, but latest satellite imagery suggests this storm is ready to gain strength quickly. The official NHC forecast keeps Fay as a TS along the Cuban coast, but don't be surprised to see Fay intensify quickly to hurricane strength. The highest heat content in the Atlantic is ahead of Fay, and wind shear is low. Only land interaction will keep Fay at bay. And my guess is that won't last long.

I'm reminded of Hurricane Irene in 1999. Remember her? This late October storm left 20" of rain in Boynton Beach, but also made for a scary Friday night for us, as winds gusty to over 80 mph over the Lake. The coastal wind speeds were close behind. More notable was the fact the track had Irene headed to Tampa, but she ended up over the Lake that night. A lesson should be learned here. Watch the cone. We're in the cone. Several great computer models have an Irene tracking through our area.

 

 

Published Saturday, August 16, 2008 5:39 PM by sweagle

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